New PROSPECT-S model captures wheat spike growth dynamics to improve spectral simulations
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New PROSPECT-S model captures wheat spike growth dynamics to improve spectral simulations

10/07/2026 TranSpread

Wheat spikes are increasingly recognized as photosynthetically active organs that contribute substantially to grain filling, but their width and internal structure change dynamically as grains fill, altering light absorption and reflectance. Most existing spectral models do not explicitly account for these developmental changes or rely on unmeasurable structural parameters. And most existing radiative transfer models (RTMs) were originally developed for leaves rather than reproductive organs such as spikes. These limitations highlight the need for a spectral model capable of representing spike growth dynamics throughout the crop life cycle.

On 15 May 2026, researchers from Chang’an University, Beijing Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Henan Polytechnic University, and Nanjing Agricultural University published (DOI: 10.34133/remotesensing.1048) a study in the Journal of Remote Sensing. They developed PROSPECT‑S, a new RTM for winter wheat spikes that addresses the critical limitations of existing methods by accurately capturing the dynamic structural evolution of spikes during grain filling, which is a factor essential for calculating light interception and estimating photosynthetic capacity.

PROSPECT‑S offers two key innovations over previous models (e.g., PROSPECT‑4). First, it replaces the unmeasurable structural parameter N with measurable spike width and dry matter, linked to accumulated growing degree days (AGDD) via logistic curves. Second, it models the refractive index using a Beer‑Lambert law dependent on width. Validation with 88 spike samples from five cultivars achieved R² = 0.92, RMSE = 0.052. The model was able to retrieve chlorophyll content (RMSE = 6.20 μg cm⁻², nRMSE = 25.8 %), equivalent water thickness (RMSE = 0.010 g cm⁻², nRMSE = 16.8 %), and dry matter content (RMSE = 0.007 g cm⁻², nRMSE = 20.4 %). PROSPECT-S demonstrated greater stability across developmental stages than models that do not account for growth dynamics.

Field experiments in Beijing and Henan, China, covered flowering and two grain‑filling stages. The team measured spike length, width, fresh/dry weight, and chlorophyll content. AGDD was calculated from ERA5 reanalysis temperature data. Spike width exhibited a characteristic sigmoidal growth pattern with increasing AGDD, fitted per cultivar. The structural parameter Nₛ was estimated from reflectance at 1,131 nm, then linked to width and dry matter via a quadratic function (R² = 0.636). The refractive index nr was expressed as *nr(λ,W) = n₀(λ) × (1 – e^{–W×k(λ)+d})*. Specific absorption coefficients for chlorophyll, water, and dry matter were recalibrated separately for 400–800 nm and 800–2,500 nm. Global sensitivity analysis indicated that AGDD was the dominant driver of model variability in the near‑infrared region, accounting for up to 90 % of the variance. Cross‑validation using three data partitioning methods confirmed robustness (validation R² = 0.91–0.92). AGDD errors (±25 °C, ±50 °C) affected flowering‑stage accuracy more than late filling stage.

“PROSPECT‑S establishes a quantitative link between crop growth dynamics and optical modeling,” said Dr. Guijun Yang, corresponding author. “By linking spike width and dry matter to spectral properties, we can now track spike development non‑destructively. This framework could support future applications in precision agriculture, including yield assessment, spike trait retrieval, and studies of spike photosynthesis under varying environmental conditions.”

Spike spectral reflectance was measured using an ASD FieldSpec4 spectrometer with a leaf clip providing consistent illumination. Destructive sampling gave fresh weight, dry weight, and spike surface area (length × width × 3.8). Chlorophyll content was determined via spectrophotometry at 440, 649, and 665 nm after ethanol extraction. PROSPECT‑S was built by modifying PROSPECT‑4: Nₛ as a function of width and dry matter, nr as an exponential function of width. AGDD served as a temporal descriptor of spike development.

PROSPECT‑S can be integrated into canopy‑level RTMs to improve estimates of light interception and photosynthetic contribution of spikes—factors often neglected in crop yield models. The model may facilitate the retrieval of spike traits from UAV- and satellite-based hyperspectral observations over large agricultural regions. Future work will extend the model to rice spikes, incorporate anatomical traits (following the RSPECT leaf model), and account for the spike’s three‑dimensional architecture. Such developments could improve the monitoring of cereal reproductive organs and contribute to more accurate assessments of crop performance under environmental stress.

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References

DOI

10.34133/remotesensing.1048

Original Source URL

https://spj.science.org/doi/10.34133/remotesensing.1048

Funding Information

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2023YFD2000100 Guijun Yang.

About Journal of Remote Sensing

The Journal of Remote Sensing, an online-only Open Access journal published in association with AIR-CAS, promotes the theory, science, and technology of remote sensing, as well as interdisciplinary research within earth and information science.

Paper title: PROSPECT-S: A Model for Spike Optical Properties Considering Winter Wheat Growth Dynamics
Fichiers joints
  • The PROSPECT-S model explicitly accounts for the winter wheat spike growth dynamics, whereas the PROSPECT-P model excludes this component. This figure shows the performance of PROSPECT-S and PROSPECT-P model for spike spectra simulations across developmental stages, including (A) total stage, (B) flowering stage, (C) grain filling I stage, and (D) grain filling II stage.
10/07/2026 TranSpread
Regions: North America, United States, Asia, China
Keywords: Science, Earth Sciences, Space Science, Agriculture & fishing

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